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Economic Outlooks

These publications provide our clients with state-of-the-art economic knowledge about country and sector risks, business insolvency trends, and macroeconomic developments. Special reports focus on underlying trends that affect the business environment.

Economic Insight: Banking deregulation in the US to boost growth – and risk

banking-deregulationSince his election, President Trump`s political agenda has included a deregulation of the US banking sector. The most recent step has been new legislation altering some of the regulations of the Dodd-Frank act. The aim has been to reduce bureaucracy and restrictions especially for smaller banks. In the attached Economic Insight, Alexis Garatti and Ludovic Subran analyze the possible effects. While we expect this round of financial deregulation to spur growth by unleashing new credit into the economy, it will also encourage more risk taking and will amplify the current financial boom. This may turn out to be a burden for long-term growth.

 

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LATEST ISSUE

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The View: Growing Out of Sync 

July/August 2018

Almost thirty years after the Washington Consensus became the norm for international policy-making, and ten years after the global financial crisis, it looks like we’re going back in time. History- and science- proof policy benchmarks (and sheer common sense) are being overruled or blatantly questioned tweet after tweet.

 

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Previous Issues: 

Payment Behavior 2
May 2018

 

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Good news on global growth comes with a significant deterioration in payment terms. Don't lower your guard too early.  (read more).

 

 

Payment Behavior: Part 1
May 2018

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Good news on global growth comes with a significant deterioration in payment terms. Don't lower your guard too early. Will the return of growth and trust distraact attention from payment discipline?  (read more).

 

 

The World Economy:
Party On?
Spring 2017

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In 2017, global GDP growth reached the +3% post, that will likely stay in sight in 2018 and 2019. The question is whether the world needs a guardian to define the rules of the global digital game? (read more).