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Euler Hermes > Economic research

Economic research

 

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​Euler Hermes’ economists provide views and opinions on a variety of topics ranging from new global trade routes to emerging risks and opportunities. Our in-house experts analyze sectors, trends, regions and more to help companies grow their business confidently and strategically.

 

Through our worldwide economic research team, you can gain access to actionable economic intelligence, strategic forecasting, and market-specific risk analysis. Armed with this knowledge, you can confidently extend more credit to your customers and expand sales to new prospects.

 

EH Update: Current Economic Events

 

  • Amid falling prices and tepid activity, Q4 2014 GDP growth was revised down to +2.2% quarter-over-quarter annualized (advance estimate +2.6%).
  • Consumption was strong, growing at +4.2% Q4 over Q3, but the rising U.S. dollar increased the trade deficit, and net exports subtracted -1.2 percentage points from overall GDP growth.
  • Personal incomes increased by +0.3% month-over-month in January but personal consumption declined by -0.2. However, as prices fell, real personal income grew by +0.8% and real personal consumption grew at a moderate +0.3%.
  • The January Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell a sharp -0.7% month-over-month (-0.2% year-over-year), the first drop since October 2009. Excluding energy and food prices, year-over-year core inflation remained a lackluster +1.6%.
  • Meanwhile, the February ISM manufacturing index and its new orders component both fell for the fourth consecutive month, with the former at 52.9, uncomfortably close to 50, the level indicating the difference between expansion and contraction. Manufacturers’ new orders - a proxy for future business spending - gained +0.5, the first increase in five months.

     COUNTRY RISK MAP​

 
Euler Hermes – Country Risk Map 

Our interactive country risk map gives you an overview of the global business environment and assesses the risk of non-payment by companies in a given country.

 

> View country risk map 

 

 

​    Economic Research App 

 

  Euler Hermes – Economic Research App 

​The new Euler Hermes Economic Research app provides mobile access to the latest research and analyses from the Euler Hermes Economic Research team – anytime, anywhere!

 

> Learn more

 

   Economist's Corner

 

  Euler Hermes – Economist’s Corner 

 

Dan North, the company’s chief economist for the Americas region, is regularly interviewed regarding the current economic climate as it pertains to trade credit insurance. 

> View commentary