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Euler Hermes > Economic research

Economic research

 

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​Euler Hermes’ economists provide views and opinions on a variety of topics ranging from new global trade routes to emerging risks and opportunities. Our in-house experts analyze sectors, trends, regions and more to help companies grow their business confidently and strategically.

 

Through our worldwide economic research team, you can gain access to actionable economic intelligence, strategic forecasting, and market-specific risk analysis. Armed with this knowledge, you can confidently extend more credit to your customers and expand sales to new prospects.

 

EH Update: Current Economic Events

  • GDP Forecast: Q3-2014 was stronger than expected, labor market conditions are improving, and perhaps most importantly the 27% drop in gasoline prices since June will provide a significant boost for the consumer. Consequently, 2014 GDP growth has been revised up to 2.3% from 2.1%, and 2015 GDP growth has been revised up to 2.9% from 2.6%.
  • Manufacturing Sector: ISM Index is at a strong 58.7 (over 50 indicates growth) while new orders are at a blistering 66 pace.
  • Corporate profit margins are near record highs while business bankruptcies are near record lows and expected to fall another 6% in 2015.
  • Labor Market: Job creation is at a steady pace of 240,000/month in 2014 with November’s report showing a very strong gain of 321,000 – but there’s still a long way to go though.
  • Consumer Sentiment surged to 93.8 in December the highest in almost eight years. Small business optimism rose to the highest of the recovery.
  • Housing Market: While it continues to sputter the Fed is likely to start raising rates in mid-2015. This has been well telegraphed and is likely to have only a small effect on financial markets at first.

     COUNTRY RISK MAP​

 
Euler Hermes – Country Risk Map 

Our interactive country risk map gives you an overview of the global business environment and assesses the risk of non-payment by companies in a given country.

 

> View country risk map 

 

 

​    Economic Research App 

 

  Euler Hermes – Economic Research App 

​The new Euler Hermes Economic Research app provides mobile access to the latest research and analyses from the Euler Hermes Economic Research team – anytime, anywhere!

 

> Learn more

 

   Economist's Corner

 

  Euler Hermes – Economist’s Corner 

 

Dan North, the company’s chief economist for the Americas region, is regularly interviewed regarding the current economic climate as it pertains to trade credit insurance. 

> View commentary