Euler Hermes > Economic research

Economic Research and Analysis


​Euler Hermes’ economists provide views and opinions on a variety of topics ranging from new global trade routes to emerging risks and opportunities. Our in-house experts analyze sectors, trends, regions and more to help companies grow their business confidently and strategically.


Through our worldwide economic research team, you can gain access to actionable economic intelligence, strategic forecasting, and market-specific risk analysis. Armed with this knowledge, you can confidently extend more credit to your customers and expand sales to new prospects.


EH Update: Current Economic Events


  • Real GDP increased at an annualised rate of +1.5% q/q in Q3, compared with +3.9% in Q2.
  • Consumption was up +3.2% and, after stripping out inventories, GDP increased by +3%. Investment contracted by a sharp -5.6%, while core inflation increased by only +1.3% annualised.
  • As expected, the Federal Reserve announced that the Fed Funds rate was left unchanged at 0%. The accompanying statement had a subtle mix of slightly more hawkish and dovish changes but a more significant change was that the Fed explicitly mentioned the “next meeting” as a potential time for liftoff, a possibility markets had heavily discounted beforehand.​
  • Even so, other recent data have been weak. Consumer confidence dropped -5 points to 97.6, with respondents indicating that there were fewer jobs available and that they were harder to get. Durable goods orders fell -1.2% m/m, the second consecutive loss, and by -3% y/y. Orders for non-defence capital goods (ex-aircraft) also fell for a second month and contracted by -7.3% y/y.
  • Housing data were mixed in September as existing home sales increased by +4.7% m/m while new home sales, likely affected by a +13.5% y/y price increase, dropped -11.5%.



Current Economic Conditions: Country Risk Map 

Our interactive country risk map gives you an overview of the global business environment and assesses the risk of non-payment by companies in a given country.


> View country risk map 



​    Economic Research App 


  Economic Research App 

​The new Euler Hermes Economic Research app provides mobile access to the latest research and analyses from the Euler Hermes Economic Research team – anytime, anywhere!


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   Economist's Corner


  Current Economics Events  

Dan North, the company’s chief economist for the Americas region, is regularly interviewed regarding the current economic climate as it pertains to trade credit insurance. 

> View commentary